ITF Transport Outlook 2015
주요 내용
Chapter 1. Near-term outlook for the economy, trade and transport
Economic growth and transport
Global recovery expected to continue but downside risks remain
Trade drives global maritime and air freight volumes
Global passenger volumes continue to grow
OECD countries spend 1% of GDP on road and rail infrastructure on average
Chapter 2. Surface transport demand in the long run
General modelling framework
Underlying demographic, GDP and oil price scenarios
Global surface transport CO2 emissions to 2050
Surface freight transport volumes and CO2 emissions
Surface passenger transport volumes and CO2 emissions
Chapter 3. International freight and CO2 emissions to 2050
Understanding long-term linkages between international trade and freight transport
International trade to 2050
International freight and CO2 emissions to 2050: Baseline trade scenario
Relevance of domestic transport linked to international freight
Impact of trade liberalisation on freight and CO2 emissions
Shipping emissions in ports2
Conclusions: Transport policies for the supply chains of the future
Chapter 4. Urban passenger transport scenarios for Latin America, China and India
Urbanisation, economic growth and transport
Urban transport policy scenarios for Latin America, China, and India
Mobility and CO2 emissions to 2050
Pollution and health impacts
Conclusions: Implications for urban transport policies
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